Sunday, September 13, 2026

El-Sisi Links Global Economic Stability to Security and Development at BRICS 2026

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BRICS leaders concluded their 18th summit in New Delhi on Sunday, September 13, with reform of global governance, Middle East de-escalation and stronger economic cooperation at the center of a two-day meeting shaped by war, protectionism and rising financing pressure on developing economies. Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged the Global South to move from “rule-taker” to “rule-shaper”; Chinese President Xi Jinping called for a greater BRICS peacemaking role in the Middle East; while Egyptian President Abdel Fattah El-Sisi linked regional security directly with trade, energy flows and global economic recovery.

The summit’s principal outcome, the New Delhi Declaration, committed members to peaceful settlement of disputes, reform of multilateral institutions and a more representative international order. Leaders called for restraint in the Middle East, criticised WTO-inconsistent tariff and non-tariff restrictions and condemned unilateral coercive measures not authorised by the UN Security Council. They also reaffirmed support for a sovereign Palestinian state within the internationally recognised 1967 borders, including Gaza and the West Bank, with East Jerusalem as its capital, alongside full Palestinian membership of the United Nations.

BRICS also shifted attention towards implementation. Members agreed to advance cross-border payment interoperability, greater use of national currencies, New Development Bank financing, investment mechanisms and more resilient industrial and supply chains. India pressed for stronger continuity between successive presidencies, while China, which takes over in 2027, proposed deeper cooperation in artificial intelligence, special economic zones and services trade.

New Delhi therefore moved the debate beyond whether BRICS can challenge the existing order rhetorically towards a harder question: can it convert growing political weight into functioning economic infrastructure?

Modi-Xi Thaw Tests BRICS Cohesion

The summit also provided the setting for a cautious improvement in India-China relations, with Xi making his first visit to India since 2019.

Talks with Modi covered border stability, trade imbalances and market access, while both sides signalled an interest in preventing strategic rivalry from overwhelming commercial relations.

That matters beyond bilateral diplomacy. BRICS will struggle to deepen financial and industrial integration if its two largest Asian economies remain locked in persistent strategic confrontation.

Modi captured the wider governance imbalance by saying the Global South is often in the “front row” during crises but in the “back row” when decisions are made.

New Delhi’s response was not withdrawal from the existing system, but an attempt to reshape its terms. BRICS backed WTO reform and restoration of a functioning dispute-settlement mechanism, while pressing for IMF quota and World Bank shareholding reforms that better reflect the growing economic weight of emerging markets.

The strategy is therefore dual-track: reform existing institutions while constructing supplementary financing, payment and investment mechanisms of its own.

Egypt Seeks to Turn BRICS Scale Into Economic Value

El-Sisi placed Egypt firmly within that argument, warning that continuing regional conflicts threaten international navigation, energy flows, trade and global economic activity.

He described BRICS as a framework for practical partnerships and a more balanced international economic architecture and said Egypt looks forward to assuming the BRICS presidency in the near future, signalling Cairo’s ambition to move from participation towards agenda-setting.

Egypt’s financial interest is equally direct. Cairo is seeking not simply additional lending, but cheaper, longer-tenor capital and greater local-currency financing that can reduce foreign-exchange exposure while mobilising private investment into infrastructure and industry.

That places the New Development Bank, concessional finance and the structure of development capital at the centre of Egypt’s BRICS agenda.

The economic relationship is already substantial but uneven.

Egypt’s trade with the BRICS grouping as calculated by CAPMAS reached about $36.7 billion in the first half of 2026, up from $29.3 billion a year earlier. Imports surged 38.1% to about $30.1 billion, while Egyptian exports fell 11.6% to $6.6 billion, widening the deficit to roughly $23.5 billion from $14.5 billion.

That divergence matters more than the increase in total trade.

For Egypt, BRICS integration will have limited structural value if it merely enlarges the import bill. The opportunity lies in converting expanding commercial ties into manufacturing investment, technology transfer, domestic value addition and stronger export capacity.

Investment is similarly concentrated. In the Egyptian statistical comparison of BRICS-related economies, about $6.2 billion was invested in Egypt during FY 2024/25, with roughly $5.8 billion attributed to the UAE and Saudi Arabia. That leaves substantial scope to deepen productive investment with China, India, Brazil, Russia and other major emerging economies.

Egypt’s Suez Canal, industrial zones and access to African, Arab and European markets give Cairo the potential to become a production and export platform for BRICS capital rather than merely a destination for BRICS goods.

Food trade offers one possible extension. BRICS agreed to continue developing a proposed Grain Exchange, including its operating model and possible expansion into other agricultural commodities. No formal link was announced with Egypt’s planned grain and logistics hub, but the potential fit is clear: Cairo could seek a larger role in storage, processing and distribution between major BRICS agricultural producers and import markets across the Middle East and Africa.

A future Egyptian BRICS presidency could therefore focus on development finance, industrial localisation, food security, logistics integration and investment in tradable sectors.

BRICS Reaffirms Palestinian Statehood

Palestine remained one of the summit’s clearest points of political consensus.

The declaration reaffirmed the Palestinian right to self-determination and backed a sovereign, independent and viable Palestinian state within the internationally recognised 1967 borders, including Gaza and the West Bank, with East Jerusalem as its capital.

Members also reiterated support for full Palestinian membership of the United Nations and opposed forced displacement and demographic or territorial changes to Gaza.

The position is not new. Its significance lies in an enlarged and politically diverse grouping maintaining that consensus during acute regional conflict.

The specificity on Palestine also contrasted with the declaration’s absence of an explicit reference to Ukraine, underscoring the limits of consensus inside a grouping that includes Russia alongside states maintaining markedly different relationships with Moscow and the West.

For Egypt, the Middle East issue also carries direct economic consequences. Instability around the Gulf, Red Sea and eastern Mediterranean feeds into energy prices, marine insurance, freight costs and Suez Canal traffic, transmitting geopolitical risk into regional external accounts.

From Currency Rhetoric to Financial Infrastructure

New Delhi produced no common BRICS currency and no attempt at monetary union.

Instead, members concentrated on the infrastructure beneath trade and investment.

The BRICS Payment Task Force will continue examining interoperable payment and messaging channels and wider use of national currencies while recognising that no single model will suit every member.

Work will also continue on the proposed New Investment Platform, insurance and reinsurance cooperation and the BRICS Multilateral Guarantees initiative, designed to improve project creditworthiness, lower financing costs and mobilise private capital.

This is less dramatic than announcing an alternative currency but potentially more consequential.

BRICS does not require monetary union to reduce dependence on existing financial channels. It requires cheaper settlement, deeper trade finance, greater local-currency lending and mechanisms capable of directing private capital towards infrastructure and productive investment.

The same value-capture argument appeared in critical minerals. Leaders called for more diversified supply chains that allow resource-rich economies to retain greater processing and industrial value, rather than remaining principally exporters of raw materials.

For African economies, that shifts the fairness debate from representation towards a harder commercial question: who captures the margin from the Global South’s resources?

Four Tests Before China 2027

New Delhi strengthened BRICS politically. The next summit must demonstrate economic execution.

Four outcomes would provide a credible test before leaders meet again in China.

First, BRICS needs a working cross-border payment pilot that demonstrates lower settlement costs or faster transactions.

Second, the Multilateral Guarantees initiative should complete a pilot transaction capable of mobilising private capital into infrastructure or development projects.

Third, the New Development Bank should show a measurable expansion in local-currency lending and private-capital mobilisation, reducing dependence on hard-currency financing.

Fourth, BRICS should identify specific customs, logistics, industrial-zone or supply-chain projects that have lowered barriers to commerce or generated new productive investment.

Other initiatives — including the Grain Exchange, reinsurance cooperation and China’s AI and special-economic-zone proposals — should ultimately be judged by the same standard.

Less architecture on paper, more transactions in practice.

The Verdict

New Delhi confirmed that BRICS already has the political scale to influence the global debate. What it still lacks is economic integration commensurate with that scale.

Its members command vast populations, commodities, industrial capacity and pools of capital. Yet payments, financing, investment and intra-BRICS trade remain far less integrated than those headline strengths suggest.

The next year should therefore be judged by whether BRICS can convert scale into value — through lower financing costs, deeper investment, functioning payment links and greater domestic value capture.

Egypt illustrates why that distinction matters: rapidly expanding trade is not enough if production and exports fail to keep pace.

BRICS no longer needs to prove that the Global South wants greater influence. It needs to prove that collective political weight can be converted into capital, production, trade and a larger share of the value created by its own economies.

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